F/C: Reed Bailey (JR)
Height/Weight: 6’10”/230 lbs.
Previous School: Davidson
2024-25 Stats: 18.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 3.8 APG
Offensive Impact
Intriguing offensive skill set. Scores through post up and isolation most frequently, but he can also space the floor a bit as a pick and pop man.
His versatility will allow him to play either the 4 or the 5.
Will give slower footed bigs trouble with his quickness and ability to put the ball on the deck. There are shades of Danny Wolf in his game, but Bailey is much thinner and doesn’t score at the rim as well.
Davidson played through him at the top of the key frequently and trusted him to make the right play, whether that was getting downhill and scoring or drawing an extra defender and making the correct pass.
Scores with his quickness and post footwork over size and strength.
Passes well out of the post when doubled (25.3% assist rate).
17-41 from 3 last season, but this isn’t an area of his game that opposing defenses need to respect. Most of his looks from 3 were given to him. Jumpshot form isn’t clean and doesn’t look comfortable with it.
Scoring efficiency concerns
84th percentile in post up frequency but 48th percentile in efficiency.
Big Ten defenses will most likely be able to single cover him in the post due to his lack of efficiency, which will also take away from his playmaking ability. The A-10 conference is no slouch, but the Big Ten can be considered a major step up in class.
More efficient in isolation (70th percentile).
Rim scoring and overall inside the arc efficiency are an issue for a big that doesn’t space the floor at a high level. 37th percentile at the rim and 48% overall inside the arc, well below average for a big.
Also doesn’t provide value on the offensive glass (5.1% OREB rate).
Bailey’s passing, ball handling, and potential floor spacing abilities could allow his game to translate to the power conference level, but he may also be an inefficient offensive hub that can’t play a complementary role if need be.
Defensive Impact
Not a good rebounder for his position (16.1% DREB rate).
Will have trouble defending opposing centers in the post. 46th percentile in post up defense efficiency at Davidson.
Weak rim protector in general. Coach DeVries plays primarily drop coverage in P&R, but filtering opposing offenses into the paint would be trouble for Bailey, who lacks physicality and isn’t a great vertical athlete.
Better suited playing power forward. He is a serviceable wing defender and can also hold his own when not physically overmatched.