G: Nate Johnson (JR)

Height/Weight: 6’3”/204 lbs.

Previous School: Akron

2024-25 Stats: 14.0 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.7 SPG, 43.9% FG

Offensive Impact

  • Johnson can be best described as a physical 1 on 1 scoring guard who provides the most value when he is getting downhill. 67.2% FG at the rim (80th percentile) 

    • Smaller guards have a very tough time dealing with his strength around the rim. Led to a 37.7% FT rate which is good for a guard.

    • His rim scoring ability should translate to the Big 12, as he will be one of the bigger guards in the league from day 1. 

  • Has a tight handle and is well above average in the ball security department. Johnson is a guard you can rely on when dealing with pressure. His strength and balance help against pressure as well. 14.2% TO rate last season.

    • Not a risk taker in the playmaking department either. Will make solid reads when he draws a 2nd defender, but he is mostly hunting for his own shot.

  • Loses value the further away from the rim his shot attempts are.

    • Johnson is comfortable when operating in the mid-range, but the efficiency numbers aren’t great. 27% on 1.9 attempts per game (33rd percentile in efficiency). 

      • From a mechanical standpoint, he is always leaning back on his pull-up jumper and never looks on balance. In turn, he is capable of making contested jumpers at a high level, but he lacks consistency when open.

    • 29% from 3 last season and is just 31% for his career. Also struggles in the catch and shoot game, so playing off the ball in a halfcourt setting could be a slight issue (31st percentile in C&S efficiency).

  • Johnson’s efficiency numbers haven’t been great during his career at Akron (49.4% career EFG), so it is fair to say he could struggle in a much better league, but the transition should be seamless from an athleticism standpoint, so his interior based game shouldn’t see too much of an efficiency dip. 

    • If the offensive responsibility is too large there is disaster potential here, but if Bashir hits and they can add something else in the portal I will be more optimistic.

Defensive Impact

  • Above average combo of size and speed at his position

    • Can realistically guard 1-3 due to his wider frame.

  • 3.0% steal rate last season (led Akron). Active on the glass for his height as well (13% DREB).

  • Fits the defensive mold for coach Tang, who always likes to have a bigger guard that can disrupt actions on the perimeter (Cam Carter, CJ Jones).

Overall Grade: C